The Energiewende (energy transition) is an internationally recognised example of Germans’ love for compound nouns, where two previously unconnected words are joined at the hip.

It conveys a package of meaning in a single word that tends to conjure up fierce support, or disdainful criticism. Yet not everyone agrees on what the term means, or even where it comes from.

As a companion piece to ourinteractive map showing how Germany generates its electricity, Carbon Brief has delved into the archives to bring you a timeline of the Energiewende (to scroll through the timeline, click on the arrow on the right hand side of the image, above).

History of the Energiewende

The Energiewende is widely associated with German chancellor Angela Merkel. However, her government’s 2010 “Energiekonzept” (energy strategy) makes no mention of the word.

In fact, the term Energiewende emerged in the late 1970s as part of the anti-nuclear movement.

Only after the post-Fukushima decision to speed up Germany’snuclear phaseoutdid Merkel claim the Energiewende as her own, in a classic political manoeuvre that co-opted her opponents’ ideas. It was later adopted as the officialnomenclaturefor Germany’s wider climate and energy strategy.

You can explore a detailed history of the Energiewende by scrolling through our interactive, 28-frame timeline, above, spanning 1971 to 2016.

The word was popularised in a 1980 book, titled “Energiewende: Wachstum und Wohlstand ohne Erdöl und Uran” (Energy Transition: Growth and Prosperity Without Oil and Uranium). The book’s title makes its priorities clear.

In a 2013retrospective, Florentin Krause, one of the book’s authors, explained their thinking:

Krause emphasised the broad scope of the project, a point all too frequently forgotten in Energiewende coverage that focuses on wind, solar, nuclear and coal:

The Energiewende started out as an approach encompassing energy efficiency, energy security, renewables and nuclear phaseout. Climate change only became a mainstream concern some years later – yet the success or failure of the Energiewende is now often measured in carbon emissions.

Some four decades after the Energiewende was born, Germany has another 34 years to meet its2050 targetof cutting emissions by 80-95% below 1990 levels – a range aligned with theEU’s 2050 goal.

Barbara Hendricks, German environment minister, told a conference in Berlin in March 2016:

If Germany is to succeed, it must almost completely decarbonise not only electricity, but also heat, transport, industry and agriculture. As of 2016, it looks set to miss many of its goals (see Carbon Brief’s map and charts tracking the current state of play).

Climate action plan 2050

2014年,德国在全国范围内发起了一项crowdsourcing effortto find ways to get its climate and energy targetsback on track. The process has fed into a draftKlimaschutzplan 2050(climate protection plan) that was due to have been agreed by the cabinet this summer (see timeline).

However, on 21 June 2016, theGerman Ministry for the Environment(BMUB) said it neededmore timeto work on the proposals for reaching carbon neutrality by mid-century. The German cabinet is not now expected to finalise the plan before October 2016, reportsDer Spiegel.

Within Germany, one of the mostcontentiouselements is a coal phaseout. A 2045 or 2050 target has beendroppedfrom the draft plan, with any decision now unlikely before the2017 election. Aleaked memofrom the chancellery calls phaseout “politically controversial”.

The lack of agreement over a coal phaseout is in stark contrast to the cross-party consensus on nuclear. Despite the challenge it poses to the country’s climate goals, Germans appear steadfast in their support for the 2022 nuclear phaseout.

Indeed, on a March 2016 visit to Germany, Carbon Brief met wry amusement – and not a little Schadenfreude – over the UK’s continued enthusiasm for new nuclear, which appears to remain strong despite the continued delays and controversy facing the planned reactors atHinkley Point.

Speaking in March 2016, Sigmar Gabriel, the minister of economic affairs and leader of the SPD, said:

From an international perspective, the German nuclear phaseout is easily the most divisive part of the Energiewende. A reflection of this debate recently swept across the US, after an agreement on early closure of the Diabolo Canyon nuclear plant in California.

Amory Lovins, long-time anti-nuclear advocate and a key figure in the origins of the Energiewende (see timeline, above), wrote that the closure would savemoney and carbon. Otherssaidthe move undermines US climate and environment goals.

In marked contrast to California and Germany, New York State recentlyproposedsubsidies for its existing nuclear fleet, as part of a wider clean energy plan that also aims to phase out coal.

Efficiency first

Meanwhile, on 12 August 2016 Germany’s Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy (BMWi)launcheda green paper on making “energy efficiency first” the guiding principle of the Energiewende – just as the concept’s originators intended.

The paper admits that Germany’s wider climate and energy targets will be missed without new policies and looks for ways to enhance efficiency. Itfollowsthe allocation of €17bn for efficiency measures between 2017 and 2020, as well as a publicity offensive on efficiency launched in May.

德国2050年气候计划草案的其他部分,including sectoral emissions targets, have beenweakenedafter facingindustry pushback.

Officials in Germany’s environment ministry admit “the transport sector is worrying us” because its emissions are rising. At an event in March 2016, foreign minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier said, “we need to change our mobility radically for the future”.

Rainer Baake, the state secretary for economic affairs and energy, said at the same event that transport had to be zero emissions by 2050. Yet in August 2016, thetransport ministrysaid the Autobahn remains the “backbone” of mobility, allocating more money to roads than to any other transport mode.

Car firms are a major industry for the country.Daimler,Volkswagen,PorscheandBMWall have, or will soon launch electric cars. VW’s chief executive has spoken of theend of diesel. The firms are also exploring new business models includingcar-sharingservices.

On the other hand, emissions are increasing and a target to get one million electric cars on the road by 2020 looks along wayfrom being met. A new electric car subsidy, introduced in May, has so far attractedvery fewbuyers.

Transport emissions remain stubbornly high, but Germany already has several compound nouns to choose from to describe its plans totransform the sector. There is theVerkehrswende(transport transition), its anglicised version, the Transportwende, and even the Autowende and Mobilitywende.

Conclusion

The deeper question for Germany is whether its 2050 plan can present a positive case for its economy-wide, low-carbon transformation. Arguably, one of the greatest successes of the Energiewende is its public popularity, consistently reflected inopinion polls.

Even if it means different things to different people, it still offers some sense of shared vision and purpose. The UK, for one, lacks this commonreference point.

Around the world, there are attempts to make a case for climate action emphasising opportunities rather than threats and innovative new business opportunities rather than onerous targets.

As Gabriel put it in March 2016: