欧盟领导人担心。或许俄罗斯拔掉插头on gas supplies to Europe arriving via Ukraine, like it did in2006and2009?

Russia’s pricedisputewith Ukraine and its $400 billiondealto supply gas to China for the next thirty years has focused minds. President of the European Commission José Manuel Barroso told aconferencein Brussels yesterday that the Ukraine crisis was the biggest threat to European peace and security since the fall of the Iron Curtain. Geopolitical “games” were being felt particularly acutely in energy, he said.

So in part, the Ukraine crisis explains why EU heads of state wereaskingfor an EU energy security strategy to be drawn up back in March, when Russia wasannexingCrimea. So how will the EU tackle the great Russian bear? We peek at a leaked draft of the EU energy security strategy to find out.

Why is Russian gas a big deal?

The EU imports over half the energy it consumes at a cost of more than€1 billionper day. Two-thirds of its gas is imported, with nearly athirdcoming from Russia. Half of that istransportedvia Ukraine.

Barroso said “energy must not be abused as a political weapon”. So the EU doesn’t plan to impose sanctions on Russian energy imports, and it haswrittento President Putin asking nicely for the gas taps to be kept on.

Just in case, the leaked energy security strategy says member states should prepare for disruption to gas supplies this winter by boosting stocks and testing their vulnerability. The UK government has alreadydecidedUK gas supplies are resilient and so it won’t pay for more gas storage.

Playing nicely

The leaked strategy says member states should integrate their energy systems through market reforms,interconnectorsand supergrids so that they can share energy easily in the event of a crisis. A single European energy market issupportedby all the main UK political parties.

The EU should also try to get gas from different sources, the strategy says. Six EU member states get all of their gas fromRussia. The UK is doing better. It doesn’t use any Russian gas – most of itssuppliescome from Norway and Qatar.

The strategy calls for more home-grown energy. This includes renewables, due to provide 20 per cent of energy demand in 2020 and 27 per cent in 2030 if existing targets aremetand proposedtargetsaccepted.

But home-grown energy also includes “fully exploiting” existing oil and gas reserves and exploring “clean coal”, according to Barroso. The energy security strategy does say coal only has a long term future in the EU if it comes withcarbon capture and storage, however.

The strategy steers clear of controversy over页岩气andnuclear energy. Barroso said these are options that member states can explore if they wish.

Greenpeace and other NGOs say amore ambitiousrenewables target would be a more effective way to curb the need for imports. They’d like a stronger focus on energy efficiency too.

Demanding lower demand

After all, one of the best ways to reduce our reliance on Russian energy imports is to use less energy – and that would help tackle emissions too.

President Barroso said he agrees:

“减少能源需求是一个基金amental precondition for limiting our energy dependenceâ?¦ energy security and decarbonisation are actually two sides of the same coin.”

But the leaked draft strategy doesn’t contain any new energy efficiency policies. The European Commission was alreadyreviewinga 2020 target to boost energy efficiency by 20 per cent and will publish its findings over the summer.

The strategy says this target will only be met if relevant laws are implemented “rigorously and without delays” and calls for more public spending on retrofits to make buildings more efficient. The UK is making slowprogressoninsulatingolder homes.

The commission isreportedto be considering tougher energy efficiency targets for 2030. But the UK and others areopposedto this.

Overall, the strategy reveals the limits to the EU’s power. Its member states’ energyprioritiesare too diverse and their energy systemstoo differentto make joint priorities easy to agree.

For instance while the UK wants the EU to butt out of energy policy, Poland wants an ‘energy union‘ able to drive a hard bargain – like China – over gas prices with Russia. But opposition fromsomemember states and the expectedriseof Eurosceptic parties in today’s elections make this seemunlikely.

The EU energy security strategy doesn’t look like it’ll take a rifle to that Russian bear just yet. But with a tweak to address vulnerability here and a spotlight on energy dependence there it may just help the EU avoid a mauling – and drive an ambitious EU 2030 climate and energy deal too.