UN climate talks: Key outcomes from the June 2021 virtual conference
Multiple Authors
06.18.21
Multiple Authors
18.06.2021 | 2:23pmInternational climate talks have resumed following an 18-month absence, with diplomats from around the world attempting to negotiate the final rules of the Paris Agreement via the online medium of Microsoft Teams.
The “intersessional”meetingof theUN Framework Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC) “subsidiary bodies” (SBs) normallytakes place在德国城市Bonn, halfway between two conferences of the parties (COPs).
After Covid-19 ruled out last year’s events entirely, this year it was forced online as nations tried to set the groundwork for the delayed COP26 in Glasgow later this year.
The event took place from 31 May to 17 June, with delegates allowed an additional week than is usual in order to make up for lost time.
However, the online talks were kept “informal”, meaning their outcomes have no legal status, with no formal decisions being made until diplomats meet in person.
Discussions were marred by technical difficulties and made little progress on most of the key issues, with an unmet $100bn pledge on climate finance looming over the talks.
There was also a lack of clarity on how the UK intends to go ahead with an in-person COP26 climate summit in November, despite its pledge to provide attendees with vaccines.
- Virtual climate talks
- Climate finance
- ‘Article 6’ carbon markets
- Adaptation
- Loss and damage
- Global stocktake
- Common timeframes
- 定期检查
- Transparency
- Road to COP26
Virtual climate talks
The decision to go ahead with a virtual event came after months of speculation over how and when negotiations would resume.
Developing nationsandNGOshad expressed concerns about moving the talks online, which they said could make it harder for smaller parties to make their voices heard.
However, there was general agreement that progress needed to be made ahead of COP26 and the UNFCCC年代tated that“effective participation and engagement of observers will be enabled in the same manner as during in-person meetings”.
In aletterfrom April, COP26 president-designate Alok Sharma wrote:
“Whilst I am the foremost advocate for in-person negotiations given the very human nature of this process and the subject matter it addresses, it is clear to me that we cannot afford to put formal work on hold.”
He noted that there were “valid concerns about virtual work that need to be taken into account” and said that the UNFCCC secretariat would try to address issues, such as connectivity and working across time zones.
Sharma’s concerns turned out to be well-founded, with many sessions marred by technical issues as speakers had difficulty unmuting their microphones, lost their internet connection or were interrupted by family members.
A “bloopers”Twitter accountwas even set up to catalogue the “dangers of virtual climate diplomacy”. Sharma’s own connection failed as he tried to dial into a final press conference at the end of the sessions from Ankara in Turkey.
The talks were held across three different time zones, changing each week. Diplomats were left exhausted after three weeks of negotiating at unsociable hours.
Quamrul Chowdhury, climate negotiator for the Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and Group of 77 (G77), tells Carbon Brief that while these issues affected everyone, “the southern delegations suffered the most”:
“I myself struggled at times to have my coordination with my fellow negotiators on some critical agenda items or lost connection while making a statement or sharing my reflections.”
To partially overcome some of these issues, African negotiators gathered at a “hub” in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt. UN Climate Change executive secretary Patricia Espinosatoldthe closing plenary that there are efforts to create more of these regional hubs.
Diann Black-Layne, lead negotiator for the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS), tells Carbon Brief that the biggest drawback was “the inescapable limitations of the format itself”.
As the decision was made to keep all virtual sessions “informal”, they could never “replace the finality in decision-making” of an in-person event, she said.
Adrián Martínez, director of Costa Rican climate NGOLa Ruta del Clima, told a press conference held byCAN International, a coalition of climate NGOs, that their participation had also been impaired:
“We came with certain reservations about this virtual format. It’s a new challenge – something that is placed on top of existing barriers that we already had, especially NGOs and people from the Global South, to be able to participate and observe.”
他说,公民社会团体没有time to speak and had even been actively excluded from some sessions by parties, emphasising the need for in-person meetings.中国, in particular, had blocked NGOs from attending meetings.
An “informal note” released by theSubsidiary Body for Implementation(SBI) chair considering the engagement of NGOs and other organisations “encourag[ed]” parties to “open meetings to observers as appropriate”.
Espinsoa told a press conference the UNFCCC would “do everything in our power” to ensure broad participation and stressed that 90% of talks were kept open to observers.
Moreover, the UNFCCC released a statement noting that the virtual sessions had allowed an additional 2,400 delegates to participate compared to the previous sessions in Bonn.
Despite the “enormous challenges” of the new format,Tosi Mpanu-Mpanu, chair of theSubsidiary Body for Scientific and Technological Advice(SBSTA),年代aidduring an interview in the closing week that he felt some of the initial issues had been overcome and ”parties have been engaging with a greater degree of confidence”.
Jennifer Tollmann, a senior policy adviser at thinktank E3G, tells Carbon Brief that while technical blunders hampered proceedings, the fundamental issues were familiar:
“Progress is pretty slow if not non-existent at this session, but I wouldn’t just blame it on the virtual format.”
方的问题拒绝离开他们的年代tarting positions is hardly new to climate negotiations, she says, although the process was not helped by the inability for negotiators to meet “over a coffee to informally discuss compromise options”.
Climate finance
Climate finance for developing countries loomed large at the virtual talks, being raised repeatedly despite not formally being on theagendafor themeeting.
At the centre of discussions on climate finance was the $100bn in support by 2020, which wasfirst pledgedby developed countries in 2009 and reaffirmed in theParis Agreement.
虽然这是相对小的挑战dealing with and attempting to avoid the worst impacts of climate change, delivering on the pledge is widely seen as a “matter of trust”.
It is not yet clear whether the target for 2020 has been met, because formal reporting is done retrospectively and because there is disagreement over what counts towards the goal.
Lorena Gonzalez, senior associate for climate finance at theWorld Resources Institute, tells Carbon Brief that developed country reports on climate finance for 2019 and 2020 will be submitted next year, with a formal accounting for the 2020 goal not possible before then.
Nevertheless, it is universally assumed that climate finance is currently falling short of the $100bn goal. Themost recent reporton climate finance issued by the OECD group of wealthy nations in November 2020 said that some $79bn in support was provided in 2018.
Others argue thetrue totalis even lower, as the OECD figure includes loans as well as grants. The UNFCCC will publish an assessment of climate finance flows before COP26.
Ahead of the virtual talks, the UK presidency convened a two-day meeting on finance in late May, with heads of delegation and chairs of the various negotiating groups.
A年代ummaryof the meeting says:
“Many parties noted that the achievement of the [$100bn] goal would be a key outcome for COP26, while some noted that we won’t have full clarity on achievement until 2022. We also heard from some parties that fulfilment of the goal and increased leadership by developed countries is needed to build trust.”
The meeting also began informal discussions on the climate finance goal for 2025 onwards, which is due to be formally negotiated, starting at COP26 and concluding “by 2024”.
At the virtual summit, discussions on climate finance continued at two “workshops”, taking place outside the formal meeting agenda.
The first, on 7 June, took up the long-running “long-term finance” work programme on the provision of support during 2014-2020. There isdisagreementover whether this programme should continue, as part of a wider fight over the best venue for finance discussions.
The年代econd workshop, on 11 June, covered Article 9.5 of the Paris Agreement, under which developed countriesmust reporthow much finance they expect to provide in the future.
A UNFCCC “年代ynthesis report” on such information was published on 1 June, but it only covers submissions from nine parties, including the EU and UK, but not the US.
The UNFCCC will prepare reports on both workshops for consideration at COP26.
Outside the talks, theG7 summitof major economies met in Cornwall and was expected to deliver a boost to the $100bn target, butfailed to deliver clarityon how it would be met.
(A US-led initiative called “Build Back Better World”, or B3W, was launched at the G7 and is designed to “mobilise private-sector capital” for four focus areas, including climate, but there islittle detailon how the plan will be financed and operated.)
Tollman says the G7 “very significantly under-delivered” on climate finance, despitenew pledgesfor extra money in the years from 2020-2025, fromGermany, Japan and Canada. Pakistan’s climate minister toldClimate Home Newsthe new pledges were “peanuts”.
These new pledges amounted to an extra $3bn towards the $100bn goal, leaving a gap of $17bn, according to年代omeestimates. But the timeframes of the pledges and the lack of a wider total for 2020 make it impossible to say for sure.
In the final week of the session, Saleemul Huq, director of theInternational Centre for Climate Change and Development, wrote a comment forReutersarguing that climate-vulnerable countries should “skip” COP26 unless the $100bn goal is delivered.
This was, he said, “a test of whether wealthy large-emitting nations will negotiate with their counterparts in the Global South on tackling the climate crisis in good or bad faith”.
If the money was not “delivered before November”, he suggested there was “little point” going to Glasgow “to do business with governments that break their promises”.
At a press briefing at the close of the virtual talks, CAN International senior adviserHarjeet Singhposed the rhetorical question of whether the summit had given confidence that the $100bn would be delivered, concluding “the answer is a big no”.
Observers point to a series of moments in the months before COP26, where further commitments on climate finance could be delivered. These include theUN General Assemblyin September and theG20 summitin Italy at the end of October.
‘Article 6’ carbon markets
Negotiators have repeatedly failed to find agreement on the rules for the voluntary use of international carbon trading, underArticle 6of the Paris deal.
The impasse stems from fears that the rules, if poorly designed, could “make or break” the entire Paris Agreement. The high stakes are exacerbated by intensely political disagreements, laced with technical jargon, over a number of fundamental principles.
Key sticking points include whether to allow “carryover” of carbon credits generated under the Kyoto Protocol and how to avoid “double counting” of emissions reductions. (See the in-depthCarbon Brief Q&Aon Article 6 for explanations of these issues.)
Consequently, Article 6 is one of the last remaining pieces of theParis regimeto be resolved, after the rest of its “rulebook” wasagreed in late 2018.
AtCOP25 in Madridin late 2019, a group of 32 parties signed up to the “San José Principles”, a set of what they see as minimum standards for the Article 6 rules.
Yet a deal in Madrid proved impossible, making it clear that more technical negotiations were needed to help define the political choices for ministers.
With this in mind, at the end of March, the Chilean COP25 and UK COP26 presidencies convened a “consultation” on Article 6 with heads of country delegations, designed to identify the most pressing areas of disagreement between parties.
According to a年代ummary of the event,re was a “very positive tone of discussion” and a “clear commitment” to finalising the rules for Article 6 at COP26 in Glasgow.
The baton then passed to Tosi Mpanu Mpanu, chair of the “SBSTA” negotiating track, whoorganiseda series of “informal consultations / informal technical expert dialogues” to “discuss remaining unresolved issues”, which had been identified at the March meeting.
Thesetechnical dialogues, each focusing on one of 10 specific areas of disagreement, started in April and were completed at the June virtual conference.
The talks are summarised by Mpanu Mpanu in10 documentsextending to some 62 pages, each noting it “is informal in nature, has no status, and does not provide negotiation text”.
These documents set out the range of views held by parties and, in some cases, describe the reasoning given for taking those positions. However, they do not attempt to distill similar viewpoints into a simplified menu of options, nor to identify potential text for agreement.
In anoverall summaryof the meetings, Mpanu Mpanu writes:
“Parties addressed possible options for resolving outstanding issues…The SBSTA chair called on the heads of delegation to engage in unlocking difficult issues and seeking compromise and to ensure that their technical experts are enabled and authorised to work informally to find possible solutions to unresolved issues.”
He says he will continue to convene heads of delegations for discussions “on a regular basis” and to hold technical talks “throughout the coming months” ahead of COP26.
One observer of the talks not authorised to speak on the record tells Carbon Brief that parts of the discussions “really have moved forwards”, with “modest progress” overall.
However, parties simply restated their existing positions in some of the most difficult areas, the observer says. Some of these topics were recognised as political rather than technical in nature – and, therefore, impossible to resolve until politicians get involved, they add.
There is only a 50-50 chance a deal will be reached in Glasgow, the observer says.
Gilles Dufrasne, policy officer with碳市场看, tells Carbon Brief that there were “no significant breakthroughs” during the virtual negotiations and that he is now less confident than before that a deal is possible at COP26. He puts a deal at “2:1 against”.
Some parties retreated to earlier hardline positions during the talks, Dufrasne says, though this was a good thing in areas where weak compromises had been made at COP25.
One shift welcomed by NGOs was an increase in support for language on upholding human rights under Article 6, which had been removed from the near-final text in Madrid.
It remains to be seen how this specific issue will be resolved, along with all the other knotty problems addressed at the virtual talks, if a deal in Glasgow on Article 6 proves possible.
UN climate chief Patricia Espinosatold the closing plenarythat political-level guidance from ministers will be needed to resolve the well-known “controversial parts”.
Before COP26, theUK presidencywill host further informal consultations on Article 6 at ministerial level, on 23 June, followed by a broader 30 June stocktake between heads of delegations and the chairs of the climate talks’negotiating groups.
Article 6 will be one of the topics on the agenda at a ministerial meeting due to take place in July,according toCOP26 president-designate Alok Sharma.
Adaptation
Adapting to climate change is a key concern for developing nations at negotiations and one that is tied closely with discussions around finance.
The Paris Agreement calls for an equal split between finance for mitigation and adaptation.Accordingto the UN Environment Programme, only 8% of climate finance has gone towards adaptation so far.
The agreement also contains a “global goal on adaptation” to drive collective action, but there has been little progress on it since 2015.
The first-ever “informal workshop” on this global goal was held just before the start of the SB sessions and NGOs welcomed the negotiations as a time to advance these talks.
However, as with other high-priority items for vulnerable nations, such as finance and loss and damage, major discussions relating to adaptation were delayed until COP26
Adaptation was discussed in various streams at the sessions. Under the SBI, it came under the “matters relating to the least developed countries” and “national adaptation plans” streams, as well as discussions around the fourth review of the adaptation fund.
Under the SBTSA, adaptation was discussed as part of the “Nairobi work programmeon impacts, vulnerability and adaptation to climate change”.
Despite these various streams, according to Prof Mizan Khan, a climate negotiator from Bangladesh, “nothing substantive” emerged for consideration at COP26 beyond parties sharing views on these agenda items.
He tells Carbon Brief that far more time was allocated to items such as the Koronivia Joint Work on Agriculture, which he considers less important.
Many developing nations including the “vast majority” of the G77 group voiced objections about the lack of prominence for adaptation on the agenda for the SB sessions, Tollmann tells Carbon Brief.
The UK has described adaptation as one of its key priorities going into COP26 and said that this subject would be discussed further at a ministerial meeting in July.
Loss and damage
Unavoidable climate impacts that cannot be adapted to are described collectively at climate negotiations as “loss and damage”.
Loss and damage is often referred to as the “third pillar” of international climate policy after mitigation and adaptation, but negotiations frequently come under fire for failing to give it sufficient prominence.
In a年代tatementahead of negotiations, CAN International said its members were “disappointed to see that loss and damage is not on the virtual SB agenda”. This point was echoed by many small islands and developing countries.
There was, in fact, some discussion of the topic, with a年代ummaryof the work conducted by theexecutive committeeof theWarsaw International Mechanism(WIM) for loss and damage published in the final week.
然而,损失和损害主张很大程度上看到WIM as inadequate for delivering on this crucial area of negotiations.
“The issue is much bigger than a small body that was created with a limited mandate to report on its work and we all know that the executive committee has not been well resourced,” CAN International senior adviserHarjeet Singhtells Carbon Brief.
Instead, many NGOs and developing countries are pinning their hopes on the relatively newSantiago Network, which was createdat COP25to “catalyse technical assistance” for loss and damage, but which remains largely theoretical at this point.
Developing nations want to see a decision on the Santiago Network at or before COP26, that deals with governance, how it operates, its mandate and how much money it is allocated.
The UK presidency hasemphasisedits commitment to “advancing operationalisation” of the network and NGOs have stated that a successful COP “cannot happen” without this.
Singh says this view is not universally shared. “On the contrary, developed countries are imagining the Santiago Network to be not more than a website,” he tells Carbon Brief.
There were also broader calls to make loss and damage a standing agenda item with adequate space carved out for the topic, rather than something confined to a single negotiating stream.
This would mean discussion of not only the Santiago Network, but also finance for loss and damage, amajor battlegroundat the last COP. Such finance was not discussed during these sessions at all.
COP26 president-designate Sharma mentioned loss and damage as one of the key issues that would be discussed in a ministerial meeting in July to lay the groundwork for the summit.
Global stocktake
The Paris Agreement includes a five-yearly “global stocktake” that is meant to assess countries’ collective progress towards its long-term climate goals, including mitigation, adaptation, finance, as well as means of implementation and support.
The stocktake is a crucial part of the Paris “ratchet mechanism”, under which countries successively make pledges, assess progress and then raise their ambition.
As it stands, there is a considerable gap between what nations have committed in terms of cutting emissions, enhancing adaptation and providing finance, and what is actually required.
全球盘点的结果是为了我ndicate to nations how much more needs to be done and, in doing so, enhance overall ambition.
The structure of the global stocktake was largely finalised atCOP24in 2018, but there remain a handful of details that are yet to be agreed.
There is a sense of urgency given that the first stocktake is meant to start right after COP26 and last until 2023. The process will then be repeated every five years.
Ahead of the negotiations, the chairs of the SBI and SBSTA released a “non-paper” – that is, a paper with no formal status – seeking to assist the preparations for the stocktake.
The paper includes a set of “guiding questions” concerning topics such as past and present trends of greenhouse gas emissions and financial barriers facing vulnerable countries.
Many negotiating groups, parties andCAN Internationalprovided theirfeedbackon the stocktake in general and the non-paper specifically. (See for example submissions from theUS,LDC group,G77 group,India for the LMDC,EUandAOSIS.)
In its年代tatement,G77 group said that while the document was comprehensive, “we feel that there are some priority issues that are of key interest to developing countries that have not been given adequate treatment or balanced treatment”.
These issues included perennial topics for developing nations such as the inclusion of loss and damage in the guiding questions proposed.
At the SB sessions, parties discussed “年代ources of input” for the global stocktake and observers noted that the talks were productive. “It’s been one of the few rooms that does really seem to have made progress,” Tollmann tells Carbon Brief:
“There is a strong sense that they already have a good indication of the type of documents that need to go into it, that they do want input from non-state actors, that they want it to be based on the best available science.”
A final informalnoteissued by the SBSTA chair acknowledges calls from some parties for the UNFCCC secretariat to be provided with resources to assist NGOs and observer groups, notably those from developing countries, in providing their input into the stocktake process.
Common timeframes
Ahead of Paris COP21,countries submittedtheir “nationally determined contributions” (NDCs) in an ad-hoc fashion, covering a range of timeframes out to 2025 or 2030.
Countries are currently updating these climate pledges, or submitting new ones, as part of the Paris “ratchet mechanism” designed to raise ambition over time.
For now, these pledges will continue to cover different periods of time, at the discretion of each party, butCOP24in 2018 agreed that all NDCs should cover a “common timeframe” from 2031, with the length of the timeframe to be decided later.
Discussions atCOP25 in Madridwere unable to reach agreement on what the common timeframe should be and failed to narrow down a lengthylist of 10 optionsthat included five-year timeframes, 10 years, a choice of either, or hybrids of the two.
Some parties argue that climate pledges are “nationally determined” and that this discretion should continue to apply to the timeframe for NDCs.
Others argue that 10-year cycles could “lock in weak ambition”, whereas five-yearly NDCs would allow plans to be updated more regularly in light of falling technology costs and the gap between ambition and targets.
Common timeframes is “the most underrated and misunderstood” issue at the talks, says a piece in theEconomic TimesbyMark Lutes, WWF senior adviser for global climate policy.
Lutes sets out the positions of various key negotiating groups and writes:
“Why are common timeframes critical? If countries are allowed to pick and choose…many essential functions of the multilateral climate regime become more difficult…It will be harder to build momentum and pressure to align national targets with agreed global goals, when those targets cover different periods.”
Negotiations on the issue resumed afresh at the virtual talks, effectively scrapping the list of options from Madrid. The talks were characterised byprocedural wrangling, but did manage to produce an “informal note”, with suggested options for consideration at COP26.
The note sets out just four options for common timeframes, in language described as “elements for further consideration” – effectively draft negotiating text. However, another eight “proposals” from parties are listed in an annex to the note.
The “elements” begin with language in square brackets – indicating undecided text – that would “request”, “invite” or require (“shall”) parties to communicate by 2025 their new NDCs, in line with the yet-to-be agreed common timeframes.
The text then sets out the four options for common timeframes: five years; 10 years; “five years + five years”, where parties would submit two five-year NDCs every five years, on a rolling basis; or “five or 10 years”, where parties could choose.
Countries are “still bickering” over the question of common timeframes,Yamide Dagnet, director for climate negotiations at the WRI, told a CAN International press briefing.
定期检查
One of the more obscure, but potentially significant topics at the talks was the second “periodic review” of the long-term goal of theUN Framework Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC)的法律框架的强度rnational action to tackle warming that was first agreed in 1992. Article 2 of the Convention sets the framing for the long-term goal.
In 2010, COP16 in Cancun defined this more clearly as along-term goalof limiting warming to 2C above pre-industrial temperatures.
Following the findings of the first “periodic review”, carried out during 2013-2015, the long-term goal was年代ubsequently updatedat Paris COP21 to limiting warming to “well-below 2C” and “pursuing efforts to stay below 1.5C”.
AtCOP25 in Madrid, parties agreed to request a second review, but年代pecified explicitlythat – unlike the first review – it would not result in an alteration to the global long-term goal.
Theyaskedthat the review, “on the basis of the best available science”, inform parties on the implications of the temperature targets and how to reach them, as well as progress so far.
Aninformal notefrom the virtual talks suggests “proposed elements” – effectively ideas towards draft negotiating text – that could be formally adopted at COP26 in November.
The proposed text “welcome[s]” the first meetings of the “年代tructured expert dialogue” (SED) that forms part of the review and which took place inNovember 2020andJune 2021.
These sessions, respectively, included presentations fromIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) scientists, followed by contributions from the likes of theInternational Energy Agency(IEA),World Bankand theUN Environment Programme.
The proposed text says parties “looked forward” to the summary report of these first SED meetings and to the second set of SED meetings, which will hear from IPCC scientists on their forthcoming sixth Assessment Report, due to be published from early August.
Separately, anotherinformal note年代ummarises discussions at the virtual talks on matters relating to research and observation. This note also offers “possible elements” of text to be formally adopted at COP26.
The proposed text would “welcome” the work of the世界气象组织(WMO) but – recalling the highly politicisedfight at COP24over the IPCC年代pecial report on 1.5C– only “acknowledge[s]” the work of the IPCC, rather than “welcom[ing]” it.
Transparency
The process of providing reliable, transparent and comprehensive information on countries’ climate progress is known in UNFCCC parlance as “transparency”.
Elements of the Paris Agreement’s “enhanced transparency framework” remained some of the key unresolved issues followingCOP24and were delayed again at COP25
The framework guides nations on reporting their emissions, progress toward their NDCs, climate impacts and adaptation, and support they have both provided and received.
Unlike previous UNFCCC arrangements which had different requirements for developed and developing nations, this “enhanced” framework has the same guidelines and processes for every country, albeit with some flexibility for poorer countries.
Whilemost ofthe rules were wrapped up in 2018, ahandfulof technical issues are still up for discussion, such as agreeing on “common reporting tables” and tabular formats that countries would use to report their emissions inventories and other information.
Observers reported some progress at the SB sessions, with parties appreciating the need to finally settle these items so that they can inform the upcoming global stocktake.
“We saw some progress on transparency with the emergence ofdraft tables(Excel file) to be used to report and facilitate the sort of audit that countries need to do,” WRI’s Dagnet told a press briefing.
However, opinionscontinuedto diverge on other remaining aspects of these talks and there were requests for in-person technical workshops, possibly to be held back-to-back with COP26.
There was also concern that NGOs had been actively excluded from participating in these sessions. Dagnet described it as “ironic” that observers were excluded from talks focusing on transparency.
Road to COP26
The subsidiary body sessions came to an end on a slightly sour note, with negotiators accepting that a lotmore workwould be required ahead of COP26 in November.
Prof Mizan Khan, a climate negotiator for Bangladesh, tells Carbon Brief he was “really frustrated” with the outcomes of the meeting.
“Not even summaries of discussions have been agreed upon in some cases…I believe we are set to witness another charade of ‘active inaction’ at the upcoming COP in Glasgow.”
Lead UK negotiator Archie Youngacknowledgedin the closing plenary that there had been limited progress and even an expansion of options on the table at the SB talks.
Archie Young, UK, COP 26 PresidencyfromEarth Negotiations BulletinonVimeo.
The SB chairs年代aidthat ahead of COP26 they would prepare “scenario notes” and identify ways to proceed at the coming negotiations through “textual proposals”.
Crucially, the “informal notes” that have emerged from the talks will only have formal status if parties decide to take them up at the summit in November.
In a closing press conference, COP26 president-designate Sharma confirmed that the UK would convene a ministerial meeting, with nations from all the key negotiating groups, on 25-26 July in London to sketch out a desirable outcome that will “keep 1.5C alive”.
Up for discussion will be topics that were largely overlooked at the SB sessions, including adaptation, finance and loss and damage, as well as further Article 6 talks.
However, after the somewhat chaotic virtual sessions, there remain significantconcernsaround how an in-person COP will go ahead.
Vaccination programmeshave noteven begun in some countries and many foreign nationals arecurrently bannedfrom entering the UK due to Covid-19. NGOs年代tatedthat rich nations must move beyond “vaccine nationalism” to ensure COP26 goes ahead.
Sharma hasrepeatedlypromised that this will be the “most inclusive COP ever” and in the briefing he emphasised that he wanted it to be a physical event, while also mentioning the expansion of virtual efforts.
The UK government hasprovidedcause for optimism by announcing it will hand out vaccines to delegates from nations where they are not available. This will include foreign media and NGOs.
However, when pressed on details of the plans, such as how the vaccines would be delivered globally, Sharma did not provide further clarity:
“We will set all of this out. I completely understand why people want answers to this – that is right and proper…we are working through all that right now.”
Sharma haspreviously年代et out the UK’s aspirations for COP26, including urging nations to set 2030 emissions targets that are compliant with net-zero and climate adaptation plans, as well as pushing rich countries to meet the $100bn climate finance target. Another goal was to encourage a strong role for civil society in the talks.
These ambitions werereiteratedby a “road to COP” statement released by the UK after the close of the SB talks, from its position as president of the G7.
Other issues the UK presidency says it intends to push at the COP include new commitments from countries on phasing out coal power, ending the sale of petrol and diesel cars and ensuring agreen recoveryfrom Covid-19.
As it stands, many of the UK’s targets are facing strong headwinds.
Key nations, including China and India, have still not registered new climate targets under the Paris Agreement, known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs).
The UNFCCC secretariat has set a 30 July deadline for the inclusion of new NDCs in a report it is preparing, on the combined impact of these pledges for COP26.
Under the Paris Agreement “ratchet mechanism”, this round of NDCs is meant to be more ambitious than previous pledges. However, preliminary results suggest their combined impact will benowhere nearwhat is required to limit warming to 1.5C.
While the G7 summit included talk of climate finance and support for adaptation, Maria Laura Rojas, executive director ofTransforma, told a press briefing that “these announcements were abstract in nature and not backed up by pledges”.
There will be more opportunities to discuss climate finance in the coming months, including at the UN general assembly and the G20 summit.
The view of many observers was summarised in a World Resources Institute press briefing byProf Chukwumerije Okerekeof Alex-Ekwueme Federal University Ndufu-Alike in Nigeria:
“There is a huge gap between intention and outcome, so effort has to be put into ensuring that all these warm words and aspirations translate into outcomes on the ground for people who are actually bearing the brunt. The UK cannot just assume that a magic wand can be waved to get these sort of outcomes.”
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UN climate talks: Key outcomes from the June 2021 virtual conference
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‘Bonn’ climate talks: Key outcomes from the June 2021 virtual UN conference