UK needs a ‘smart power revolution’, says Infrastructure Commission
Simon Evans
03.04.16Simon Evans
04.03.2016 | 4:05pmThe UK could save up to £8bn a year by 2030 if it embraces the “smart power revolution” overtaking the energy sector, says the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC).
In itsfirst report财政大臣乔治•奥斯本(George Osborne)设立的,身体问s government and regulators to unlock three innovations: interconnectors, demand flexibility and storage. Together, it says these can help the UK meet carbon targets and secure electricity supplies at lower cost.
Carbon Brief runs through the report’s recommendations and reactions to its findings.
Commission structure
TheNICwas set up by the Treasury last October to “enable long term strategic decision making to build effective and efficient infrastructure for the UK”. It exists in interim form with Lord Andrew Adonis, the former Labour transport secretary, as interim chair.
Subject toconsultationending on 17 March, the NIC will become a statutory body. It will be charged with preparing National Infrastructure Assessments once per parliament and ad-hoc special assessments on request from the chancellor.
The commission could have sweeping powers over Whitehall, which would have a duty to implement its recommendations, if endorsed by government. Action to address climate change would not be anexplicit aimof the NIC, though it would have to be mindful of the UK’s legally-binding carbon budgets.
In advance of its formal establishment, the Treasury hasaskedthe commission to look at energy infrastructure, connectivity in northern England and London’s transport infrastructure, before the 16 March budget. Itssmart powerreport is the first to be published.
Smart power
委员会表示,英国正在经历一个背包ional shift in its energy sector as ageing power stations retire and low-carbon sources of electricity are added.
This echoesSteve Holliday, outgoing chair ofNational Grid, who notes that the old electricity system based on tens of centralised power stations is being replaced by thousands of smaller plants. Carbon Brief’sinteractive map of UK electricitygeneration capacity also illustrates this shift.
The changes to the UK energy sector and the investment needed to renew it represent a “serious challenge and an enormous opportunity”, the NIC says. Moreover, meeting climate goals means the age of fossil fuel power stations must ultimately come to an end, the commission says.
A better-connected, more flexible grid could meet these challenges more cheaply, saving between £2.9bn and £8.1bn per year in 2030, it says. The research behind these numbers is explored below. Greater flexibility could come from three key innovations, the commission says.
There are: interconnectors, massive undersea electricity cables joining the UK to other markets;demand flexibility, where homes and businesses are rewarded for shifting electricity use to reduce peak demand or pick up excess generation; and storage at grid and household level.
The NIC says:
The old-style system was based around large centralised power stations sending electricity to homes and businesses via a one-way grid. The smart system of the future will involve a two-way grid with storage, responsive demand and small-scale generation.
Prof Jim Watson, director of the UK Energy Research Centre, told theBBC Todayprogramme:
Achieving change
There is a surprising level of consensus across the energy industry in support of the commission’s findings. Lawrence Slade, head of industry group Energy UK, set out very similar views in an interview with亚慱官网last week.
He said the UK energy sector needed to become more flexible and that it is undergoing a revolution which government, the media and the wider public needed to catch up with.
The NIC has a series of specific recommendations around how to unlock the smart and flexible power system of the future. Government should back new interconnectors linking the UK’s grid to the rest of Europe, with a focus on markets, such as Norway and Iceland.
A government taskforce is due to rule on the cost and benefits of anIcelandic interconnectorin May.
Abackground reportfor the commission says existing plans to raise interconnector capacity to around 11GW by 2020, up from 4GW today, are very likely to bring benefits to the UK. It says more work is needed to understand the benefits and risks of additional links beyond this level.
On storage, the commission says battery costs have fallen from $3,000 per kilowatt hour (kWh) in 1990 to below $200/kWh today. Companies are “already queuing up to invest”, but regulatory barriers are holding them back.
If costs continue to fall, up to 15GW of storage could be economically deployed by 2030, the commission suggests, from large-scale storage through to domestic systems. This would be a mixture of batteries and other storage types. Around 3GW of centralised, mainly pumped-hydro reservoir storage is available today.
The Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC) and energy regulator Ofgem should review regulations to work out how to smooth the path for storage by spring 2017, making changes as soon as possible. DECC has alreadycommittedto consult on barriers to storage this spring.
On demand flexibility, the commission saysregulatoryandculturalbarriers need tackling. There should be trials of new business models that reward flexibility and show off the best of British innovation and data analytics capability. Ofgem should review the landscape by spring 2017.
Value of flexibility
The commission’s top line is that a smart, flexible energy system could save up to £8bn per year in 2030. Where does that come from? A background paper fromImperial Collegesays:
Flexibility is a “low regrets” option that is beneficial in a wide range of scenarios, the paper says. The paper in turns draws onresearch进行了the Committee on Climate Change. This says:
These conclusions are sensitive to assumptions around the future cost of different electricity generation technologies. In a sensitivity analysis, the research looks at the optimal mix if gas with CCS, wind, nuclear and solar all cost the same amount per unit of electricity generated.
Under this assumption, the lowest cost scenarios for 2030 only include CCS if system flexibility is very low, the study finds. However, CCS haswider usesbeyond the power sector, such as decarbonisingheavy industry.
Views on smart energy
It’s worth picking up on a few different comments on the commission’s work, which seems to have been broadly welcomed.
One of the few criticisms of the report is that it paysscant attentionto energy efficiency, which could reduce peak electricity demand and so reduce the need for new generation capacity.
In astatementlaunching the report, picked up by theFinancial Times, NIC interim chair Lord Adonis said:
In a comment piece forBusiness Green, Ofgem’s Kersti Berge said:
In a statement, National Grid said:
Lisa Nandy, shadow energy and climate change secretary, said in astatement:
These sensible proposals from Andrew Adonis rightly advocate we seize the potential of cutting edge technology and improved power connections with our European neighbours. It is possible to create a cheaper, more efficient and more reliable energy system that cuts pollution and reduces costs for households.
Emma Pinchbeck, head of climate and energy at WWF-UK said in a statement:
The Association for Decentralised Energy (ADE) welcomed the report, but said in astatement:
James Court, head of policy and external affairs at the Renewable Energy Association, said in astatement: